Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 11.900404 13.384015 15.060608 17.112354 19.578618 22.477751 26.189017
2025-04-06 9.548480 11.301226 13.434822 16.273210 20.029650 24.952078 32.108908
2025-04-13 8.224732 10.048300 12.375141 15.645558 20.269805 26.824452 37.334664
2025-04-20 8.061968 10.183218 13.029338 17.279282 23.760654 33.852678 52.178125
2025-04-27 7.596652 9.831015 12.942141 17.806527 25.680070 38.925876 65.747832
2025-05-04 6.904154 9.078515 12.181616 17.187327 25.632795 40.656039 73.700395
2025-05-11 6.594886 8.833395 12.121268 17.625649 27.393659 46.033047 91.773455
2025-05-18 6.171913 8.378695 11.689144 17.387201 27.897095 49.095271 106.076781
2025-05-25 5.810866 7.984358 11.307740 17.175501 28.396522 52.268408 122.614706
2025-06-01 5.524581 7.679957 11.037364 17.115621 29.168138 56.258455 144.454753
2025-06-08 5.195131 7.284226 10.583421 16.669523 29.075417 58.183931 161.009419
2025-06-15 4.985630 7.062531 10.397059 16.690247 29.962745 62.843387 192.298073
2025-06-22 4.659188 6.645543 9.870290 16.051309 29.396956 63.751364 210.331450
2025-06-29 4.339461 6.222543 9.306162 15.288923 28.449211 63.391159 222.873541
2025-07-06 4.079015 5.881570 8.860065 14.713116 27.844919 63.894662 241.326948
2025-07-13 4.160753 6.107604 9.420159 16.209365 32.489527 82.719877 413.085269
2025-07-20 4.083830 6.060471 9.484936 16.691146 34.728933 94.968804 590.852279
2025-07-27 3.871761 5.770187 9.082400 16.125284 34.059793 95.941248 659.210732
2025-08-03 3.800275 5.718465 9.119346 16.525923 36.158446 109.418891 978.359913
2025-08-10 3.657182 5.533726 8.891794 16.308020 36.439570 115.256170 1236.327111
2025-08-17 3.526808 5.365001 8.684065 16.114470 36.762799 121.615277 1598.451258
2025-08-24 3.420922 5.234629 8.542130 16.059709 37.510458 130.753780 2240.929095
2025-08-31 3.282417 5.039611 8.262330 15.651529 37.063820 133.312012 2726.753570